Dự báo khoảng cách cung - cầu nhân lực trình độ đại học một số ngành kĩ thuật then chốt tại Việt Nam và vai trò của giáo dục đại học

Tóm tắt

In the context of comprehensive educational reform and the demand for improving human resource quality, developing professional competenciesfor pre-service teachers has become a central mission of teacher education institutions. However, current practices indicate that pedagogical training activities often lack systematic organization and alignment with competencybased learning outcomes. This study quantitatively analyzes the supplydemand gap for university-level human resources in pivotal engineering sectors, which are foundational to Vietnam's industrialization and sustainable economic development. The paper addresses a research gap by shifting focus from the qualitative “skills gap” to the absolute quantitative shortage of manpower. Employing a mixed-method quantitative approach (descriptive statistics for supply 2019-2023 and econometric forecasting for demand), results show the gap is projected to widen and become increasingly severe across all analyzed sectors. The study affirms the central role of higher education in strategically expanding enrollment capacity to bridge this disparity. Recommendations include synchronous solutions, notably targeted public investment and institutionalizing a transparent national Labor Market Information system.